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CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Hong Kong suspended the import of poultry meat and poultry products from Ehime Prefecture, Japan. On December 11th, the Center for Food Safety of the Food and Environmental Hygiene Department of Hong Kong announced that in response to the notification from the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Japan that highly pathogenic H5 avian influenza broke out in Ehime Prefecture, Japan, the Center immediately instructed the industry to suspend the import of poultry meat and poultry products (including eggs) from this area to protect public health in Hong Kong. A spokesman for the Centre said that according to the information of the Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong imported about 2,000 metric tons of frozen poultry meat and 227.42 million eggs from Japan in the first nine months of this year. The spokesman said: "The Center has contacted the Japanese authorities on the incident and will continue to pay close attention to the news of the outbreak of avian influenza issued by the World Organization for Animal Health and relevant authorities, and take appropriate actions in response to the development of the local epidemic."

CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.Google executives: Search for artificial intelligence is the biggest bet, with an estimated investment of 50 billion yuan in 2024. ruth porat, president and chief investment officer of Google, revealed at a conference that Google's biggest bet is to apply artificial intelligence to search business. Despite the problems of technical competition and artificial intelligence model, Google is still firmly pushing forward this strategy. Polat emphasized that integrating artificial intelligence into search business is Google's current core strategy. Google has introduced an overview of AI into the search tool, added advertisements to it, and introduced shopping advertisements to Google Lens. Despite the existence of false or misleading results such as artificial intelligence illusion, Google is still optimistic about the development potential of artificial intelligence in the search field. In addition to the search business, Polat also pointed out that Google Cloud is another important investment of the company. When answering a question about whether Google's investment cost in artificial intelligence will follow the industry trend, Polat said that artificial intelligence represents "an opportunity for generations". She revealed that Google plans to spend $50 billion on chips, data centers and other capital expenditures in 2024, but stressed that Google will make careful bets based on the results.

Australia's unemployment rate in November was 3.93%, which is estimated to be 4.2%.South Korean President Yin Xiyue appeared in the office on Thursday for the first time in five days.South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a speech to the people on the 12th, accusing the opposition party of framing "the crime of civil strife" and engaging in impeachment. (Xinhua News Agency)